Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.618635 4.055686 4.529731 5.082911 5.711739 6.405501 7.230489
2024-10-13 2.979698 3.558531 4.231702 5.075526 6.109301 7.339968 8.924123
2024-10-20 2.549332 3.192984 3.981952 5.026476 6.382347 8.095457 10.443815
2024-10-27 2.146696 2.790660 3.613304 4.750673 6.297085 8.347319 11.306252
2024-11-03 1.941191 2.607624 3.490652 4.759627 6.558346 9.049458 12.818065
2024-11-10 1.812824 2.508200 3.460522 4.878127 6.965781 9.976067 14.734643
2024-11-17 1.679689 2.385494 3.380840 4.909814 7.240132 10.725269 16.459843
2024-11-24 1.565383 2.276793 3.307320 4.936846 7.500691 11.467854 18.246157
2024-12-01 1.464718 2.177725 3.236502 4.956380 7.744064 12.197905 20.084174
2024-12-08 1.344289 2.037870 3.090677 4.842339 7.758104 12.552699 21.321162
2024-12-15 1.258728 1.944380 3.007579 4.818346 7.912092 13.145679 23.028389
2024-12-22 1.179716 1.854671 2.922419 4.781402 8.036839 13.694489 24.710333
2024-12-29 1.154758 1.851945 2.980166 4.994336 8.622583 15.126975 28.249092
2025-01-05 1.089577 1.777924 2.914076 4.987443 8.816283 15.871319 30.561144
2025-01-12 1.023310 1.696947 2.829536 4.939412 8.927927 16.470619 32.655387
2025-01-19 0.926167 1.556187 2.631534 4.668886 8.595186 16.181363 32.871344
2025-01-26 0.882389 1.505312 2.587255 4.677674 8.797660 16.960577 35.455125
2025-02-02 0.858281 1.487372 2.599967 4.793919 9.220564 18.225499 39.271121
2025-02-09 0.823596 1.447815 2.570143 4.825001 9.473636 19.163229 42.471155
2025-02-16 0.790839 1.409483 2.539609 4.851517 9.718558 20.107178 45.812955
2025-02-23 0.759461 1.371573 2.507009 4.870678 9.948702 21.041244 49.259015
2025-03-02 0.714208 1.304546 2.414079 4.758812 9.885293 21.310648 51.084939
2025-03-09 0.682761 1.261977 2.365695 4.735277 10.012766 22.027030 54.149566